Table of Contents
Context: For India – the world’s third-largest energy consumer – dependence on external sources has become a critical vulnerability. In a fragmented & conflict-prone world, energy sovereignty (the ability to secure uninterrupted, affordable, and indigenous energy) has emerged as the new strategic currency.
India’s Dependence on Imported Energy |
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Reasons for India’s Energy Dependence
Resource Constraints
- Oil & Gas Reserves: India’s proven reserves are limited and depleting.
- High Import Needs: Domestic production of crude has stagnated at ~30 MMT/year while demand has crossed 220 MMT/year.
Rising Energy Demand
- Driven by urbanisation, industrialisation, and transport growth.
- India’s energy demand is expected to double by 2040, making imports even more critical.
Infrastructure and Technology Gaps
- Slow progress in domestic oil exploration (due to regulatory hurdles and low investment).
- Lack of large-scale renewable storage capacity → continued reliance on fossil fuels.
Policy and Pricing Factors
- Domestic energy pricing is often politically sensitive, discouraging private investment.
Impact of Energy Dependence
- Economic Impact: Large import bills widen the trade deficit and put pressure on the rupee.
- Fiscal burden rises when subsidies are used to shield consumers from high prices.
- Geopolitical Vulnerability: Over-reliance on a few regions (West Asia, now Russia) makes India vulnerable to global conflicts.
- E.g.: June 2025 Israel-Iran tensions nearly disrupted 20 million barrels/day of oil flow, threatening $100+ oil prices.
- Energy Insecurity: Supply chain disruptions (wars, sanctions, pandemics) risk shortages and price volatility.
- Strategic Risks: Dependence weakens strategic autonomy, as energy access influences foreign policy choices.
- Environmental Impact: Import dependence often locks India into fossil fuel reliance, delaying green transition.
India’s Path to Energy Sovereignty
Diversification of Sources: Reduced dependence on West Asia (from >60% of imports to <45%). Enhanced sourcing from Russia, Africa, the U.S., and Latin America.
Five Strategic Pillars for Energy Sovereignty |
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- Renewable Energy Push:
- Installed RE capacity: 190 GW (2024), aiming for 500 GW by 2030.
- Solar and wind expansion with global partnerships (ISA, One Sun One World One Grid).
- Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR): India has built reserves covering ~10 days of imports, with plans to expand.
Energy security is no longer just climate policy but a survival strategy. India must adopt an energy sovereignty doctrine built on diversification, domestic capacity, and resilient infrastructure. The future’s most valuable resource is not oil but uninterrupted, affordable, indigenous energy.