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Bangladesh Plans to Shift from Indian to U.S. Cotton

Context

Bangladesh has announced plans to gradually replace Indian cotton with U.S.-produced cotton following the newly signed U.S.–Bangladesh Agreement on Reciprocal Trade.

Why Bangladesh Is Shifting to U.S. Cotton

  • Tariff Advantage in the U.S. Market: Under the agreement:
    • Bangladesh secured a 19% reciprocal tariff rate (better than some competitors like Cambodia and Indonesia).
    • A special clause allows zero tariff access if Bangladeshi exporters use U.S.-origin cotton or MMF.
    • Since the U.S. is Bangladesh’s largest export market for garments, this preferential access provides a major competitive edge.
  • Bangladesh’s Structural Advantage
    • Bangladesh does not produce cotton domestically it does not have a cotton farmer lobby.
    • This gives Dhaka greater flexibility in switching suppliers without domestic political resistance—unlike countries where farmer groups influence trade policy.
  • Background of Trade Tensions
    • In April 2025, Bangladesh restricted yarn imports from India through land ports. In response, India imposed curbs on certain Bangladeshi garment imports in May 2025.

India’s Concerns

  • Impact on Indian Exports: Bangladesh is a major buyer of Indian cotton and yarn. In 2024, India exported about $1.6 billion worth of cotton yarn and nearly $85 million of manmade fibre (MMF) yarn to Bangladesh.
  • This could affect cotton farmers, yarn manufacturers, and textile hubs like Tiruppur and Coimbatore.

Practical Challenges for Bangladesh

  • Cost and Logistics: Importing cotton from the U.S. involves higher freight and longer shipping time. Even with zero tariffs, total costs must remain competitive.
    • On the other hand India’s export takes place through land ports, making it fast and cost-effective.
  • Quality Concerns: Cotton quality affects garment exports. Bangladesh must ensure U.S. cotton matches Indian or Egyptian standards to maintain product quality.
  • Risk of Dependence
  • Trade agreement may limit Bangladesh’s freedom to buy cotton from multiple countries.
  • Heavy reliance on U.S. cotton could limit Bangladesh’s flexibility and increase vulnerability to supply or price disruptions.
India–Bangladesh Textile Trade: Interdependence and Competition
Bangladesh is the second-largest exporter of ready-made garments (RMG) globally with an 8–9% share, while India ranks around seventh with 3–4% share.

Bangladesh’s garment success has historically depended on cheap labour combined with Indian raw material support, especially cotton and yarn.

India’s Role in Bangladesh’s Textile Rise

●     Raw Material Backbone

○     India supplies 78–82% of Bangladesh’s yarn imports.

○     Annual exports: nearly $2 billion worth of yarn (~700 million kg).

○     India exported $1.6 billion cotton yarn to Bangladesh in 2024-25.

●     Indian yarn ensured:

○     Consistent quality

○     Quick delivery through land ports

○     Competitive pricing

●     Trade Facilitation Support

●     Duty-free access under SAFTA for Bangladeshi garments.

●     Transshipment facilities via Indian ports reduced logistics cost.

●     Electricity exports (2,300+ MW) supported industrial growth.

Bangladesh’s growth partly operated under India’s “strategic and logistical umbrella.”

Emerging Competitive Phase (Current Trends)

●     US-Bangladesh deal shifts cotton sourcing: Bangladesh may replace Indian cotton with U.S. cotton to gain zero-tariff access in the U.S., weakening India’s yarn exports.

●     India-EU FTA increases competition:  If tariffs are removed under the India-EU FTA, Indian garments will compete directly with Bangladeshi exports in Europe.

●     Growing political trust deficit: Recent diplomatic tensions and policy restrictions have reduced economic coordination, making trade relations less stable.


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