Table of Contents
Context
Bangladesh has announced plans to gradually replace Indian cotton with U.S.-produced cotton following the newly signed U.S.–Bangladesh Agreement on Reciprocal Trade.
Why Bangladesh Is Shifting to U.S. Cotton
- Tariff Advantage in the U.S. Market: Under the agreement:
- Bangladesh secured a 19% reciprocal tariff rate (better than some competitors like Cambodia and Indonesia).
- A special clause allows zero tariff access if Bangladeshi exporters use U.S.-origin cotton or MMF.
- Since the U.S. is Bangladesh’s largest export market for garments, this preferential access provides a major competitive edge.
- Bangladesh’s Structural Advantage
- Bangladesh does not produce cotton domestically it does not have a cotton farmer lobby.
- This gives Dhaka greater flexibility in switching suppliers without domestic political resistance—unlike countries where farmer groups influence trade policy.
- Background of Trade Tensions
- In April 2025, Bangladesh restricted yarn imports from India through land ports. In response, India imposed curbs on certain Bangladeshi garment imports in May 2025.
India’s Concerns
- Impact on Indian Exports: Bangladesh is a major buyer of Indian cotton and yarn. In 2024, India exported about $1.6 billion worth of cotton yarn and nearly $85 million of manmade fibre (MMF) yarn to Bangladesh.
- This could affect cotton farmers, yarn manufacturers, and textile hubs like Tiruppur and Coimbatore.
Practical Challenges for Bangladesh
- Cost and Logistics: Importing cotton from the U.S. involves higher freight and longer shipping time. Even with zero tariffs, total costs must remain competitive.
- On the other hand India’s export takes place through land ports, making it fast and cost-effective.
- Quality Concerns: Cotton quality affects garment exports. Bangladesh must ensure U.S. cotton matches Indian or Egyptian standards to maintain product quality.
- Risk of Dependence
- Trade agreement may limit Bangladesh’s freedom to buy cotton from multiple countries.
- Heavy reliance on U.S. cotton could limit Bangladesh’s flexibility and increase vulnerability to supply or price disruptions.
| India–Bangladesh Textile Trade: Interdependence and Competition |
| Bangladesh is the second-largest exporter of ready-made garments (RMG) globally with an 8–9% share, while India ranks around seventh with 3–4% share.
Bangladesh’s garment success has historically depended on cheap labour combined with Indian raw material support, especially cotton and yarn. India’s Role in Bangladesh’s Textile Rise ● Raw Material Backbone ○ India supplies 78–82% of Bangladesh’s yarn imports. ○ Annual exports: nearly $2 billion worth of yarn (~700 million kg). ○ India exported $1.6 billion cotton yarn to Bangladesh in 2024-25. ● Indian yarn ensured: ○ Consistent quality ○ Quick delivery through land ports ○ Competitive pricing ● Trade Facilitation Support ● Duty-free access under SAFTA for Bangladeshi garments. ● Transshipment facilities via Indian ports reduced logistics cost. ● Electricity exports (2,300+ MW) supported industrial growth. Bangladesh’s growth partly operated under India’s “strategic and logistical umbrella.” Emerging Competitive Phase (Current Trends) ● US-Bangladesh deal shifts cotton sourcing: Bangladesh may replace Indian cotton with U.S. cotton to gain zero-tariff access in the U.S., weakening India’s yarn exports. ● India-EU FTA increases competition: If tariffs are removed under the India-EU FTA, Indian garments will compete directly with Bangladeshi exports in Europe. ● Growing political trust deficit: Recent diplomatic tensions and policy restrictions have reduced economic coordination, making trade relations less stable. |
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